<div dir="ltr"><table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%" style="border-collapse:collapse;color:rgb(0,0,0);font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;font-size:medium;background-color:rgb(250,250,250)"><tbody><tr><td align="center" valign="top" id="gmail-templatePreheader" style="background-image:none;background-position:50% 50%;background-size:cover;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial;border-top:0px;border-bottom:0px;padding-top:9px;padding-bottom:9px"><table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%" class="gmail-templateContainer" style="border-collapse:collapse;max-width:600px;width:600px"><tbody><tr><td valign="top" class="gmail-preheaderContainer" style="text-size-adjust: 100%;"><table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%" class="gmail-mcnTextBlock" style="border-collapse:collapse;min-width:100%"><tbody class="gmail-mcnTextBlockOuter"><tr><td valign="top" class="gmail-mcnTextBlockInner" style="padding-top:9px"><table align="left" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%" class="gmail-mcnTextContentContainer" style="border-collapse:collapse;max-width:100%;min-width:100%"><tbody><tr><td valign="top" class="gmail-mcnTextContent" style="word-break:break-word;color:rgb(101,101,101);font-family:Helvetica;font-size:12px;line-height:18px;text-align:center;padding:0px 18px 9px"><a href="https://mailchi.mp/icpsr/short-workshop-on-bayesian-analysis-starts-may-17?e=[UNIQID]" target="_blank" style="color:rgb(101,101,101)">View this email in your browser</a></td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="top" id="gmail-templateHeader" style="background:none 50% 50%/cover no-repeat rgb(255,255,255);border-top:0px;border-bottom:0px;padding-top:9px;padding-bottom:0px"><table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%" class="gmail-templateContainer" style="border-collapse:collapse;max-width:600px;width:600px"><tbody><tr><td valign="top" class="gmail-headerContainer" style="text-size-adjust: 100%;"><table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%" class="gmail-mcnImageBlock" style="border-collapse:collapse;min-width:100%"><tbody class="gmail-mcnImageBlockOuter"><tr><td valign="top" class="gmail-mcnImageBlockInner" style="padding:9px"><table align="left" width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="gmail-mcnImageContentContainer" style="border-collapse:collapse;min-width:100%"><tbody><tr><td class="gmail-mcnImageContent" valign="top" style="padding:0px 9px;text-align:center"><img align="center" alt="" src="https://gallery.mailchimp.com/4de0acf23f8cd9a943b256ebd/images/32e08222-2ba1-4bff-86bd-fb42c8fee3fe.jpg" width="564" class="gmail-mcnImage" style="border: 0px; height: auto; outline: none; vertical-align: bottom; max-width: 800px; padding-bottom: 0px; display: inline;"></td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr><tr><td align="center" valign="top" id="gmail-templateBody" style="background:none 50% 50%/cover no-repeat rgb(255,255,255);border-top:0px;border-bottom:0px;padding-top:9px;padding-bottom:9px"><table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%" class="gmail-templateContainer" style="border-collapse:collapse;max-width:600px;width:600px"><tbody><tr><td valign="top" class="gmail-bodyContainer" style="text-size-adjust: 100%;"><table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%" class="gmail-mcnTextBlock" style="border-collapse:collapse;min-width:100%"><tbody class="gmail-mcnTextBlockOuter"><tr><td valign="top" class="gmail-mcnTextBlockInner" style="padding-top:9px"><table align="left" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%" class="gmail-mcnTextContentContainer" style="border-collapse:collapse;max-width:100%;min-width:100%"><tbody><tr><td valign="top" class="gmail-mcnTextContent" style="word-break:break-word;color:rgb(32,32,32);font-family:Helvetica;font-size:16px;line-height:24px;padding:0px 18px 9px"><h1 style="margin:0px;padding:0px;font-size:26px;line-height:32.5px">Bayesian analysis workshop May 17</h1></td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table><table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%" class="gmail-mcnTextBlock" style="border-collapse:collapse;min-width:100%"><tbody class="gmail-mcnTextBlockOuter"><tr><td valign="top" class="gmail-mcnTextBlockInner" style="padding-top:9px"><table align="left" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%" class="gmail-mcnTextContentContainer" style="border-collapse:collapse;max-width:100%;min-width:100%"><tbody><tr><td valign="top" class="gmail-mcnTextContent" style="word-break:break-word;color:rgb(32,32,32);font-family:Helvetica;font-size:16px;line-height:24px;padding:0px 18px 9px">Today we&#39;re highlighting a short workshop that will introduce participants to Bayesian data analysis!</td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table><table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%" class="gmail-mcnTextBlock" style="border-collapse:collapse;min-width:100%"><tbody class="gmail-mcnTextBlockOuter"><tr><td valign="top" class="gmail-mcnTextBlockInner" style="padding-top:9px"><table align="left" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%" class="gmail-mcnTextContentContainer" style="border-collapse:collapse;max-width:100%;min-width:100%"><tbody><tr><td valign="top" class="gmail-mcnTextContent" style="word-break:break-word;color:rgb(32,32,32);font-family:Helvetica;font-size:16px;line-height:24px;padding:0px 18px 9px"><div><strong>Applied Bayesian Models for Social Scientists: From Theory to Estimation and Inference</strong><br><br><strong>Dates:</strong> May 17-28, 2021<br><strong>Instructor: </strong>Johannes Karreth, Ursinus College<br><strong>Registration Deadline</strong>: May 13<p style="margin:10px 0px;padding:0px;line-height:24px">This course provides an applied introduction to Bayesian data analysis and inference, geared toward researchers in the social sciences. Bayesian methods have rapidly grown in the social sciences in recent years and have become a central tool for a wide variety of analytical methods, such as multilevel and measurement models, quantitative text analysis, and network analysis. This highly applied course enables participants to immediately use Bayesian tools in their own research and to effectively communicate their Bayesian results to other scholars.</p><p style="margin:10px 0px;padding:0px;line-height:24px">Course topics include foundations of Bayesian inference, Bayesian inference for linear and generalized linear regression models, multilevel modeling, measurement/latent variable models, and more...</p><p style="margin:10px 0px;padding:0px;line-height:24px">See the <a href="https://custom.cvent.com/FAE9DDA176B54DE09B6D5062D5CD6CCD/files/e6f0d709e7aa44e2af2765221686b7fe.pdf" target="_blank" style="color:rgb(0,124,137)">syllabus</a> for the complete course description and more information.</p><p style="margin:10px 0px;padding:0px;line-height:24px">Target audience: Social scientists of any discipline at any career stage working with observational or experimental data. The course will be of particular benefit to researchers working on measurement issues, analyses of grouped, structured, nested, or multilevel data or repeated measures, and those interested in evaluating uncertainty around statistical indicators.</p><p style="margin:10px 0px;padding:0px;line-height:24px"><strong>Bio:</strong> Johannes Karreth is an Assistant Professor of Politics and International Relations at Usinus College. He specializes in the study of international institutions and examines their role in resolving conflicts in different issue areas. His core research investigates how international institutions such as the World Bank have changed the dynamics of conflict and cooperation in political disputes between and within countries. His book <a href="https://www.ursinus.edu/live/news/2654-incentivizing-peace" style="color:rgb(0,124,137)">Incentivizing Peace</a> (Oxford University Press, 2018) explores how international institutions can prevent civil wars.</p><p style="margin:10px 0px;padding:0px;line-height:24px">In other <a href="http://www.jkarreth.net/research.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank" style="color:rgb(0,124,137)">research</a>, he studies how international and domestic politics interact, for instance how citizens react to visible aspects of globalization including immigration and changes in political parties’ ideological positions.</p>Visit our <a href="https://web.cvent.com/event/2d61258f-6210-4abe-b8f9-8b44b3b1c1ed/websitePage:645d57e4-75eb-4769-b2c0-f201a0bfc6ce" target="_blank" style="color:rgb(0,124,137)">Short Workshop Portal</a> for more information about this and all of our other short workshops!</div></td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table><table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%" class="gmail-mcnButtonBlock" style="border-collapse:collapse;min-width:100%"><tbody class="gmail-mcnButtonBlockOuter"><tr><td valign="top" align="center" class="gmail-mcnButtonBlockInner" style="padding:0px 18px 18px"><table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="gmail-mcnButtonContentContainer" style="border-radius:4px;background-color:rgb(0,116,186)"><tbody><tr><td align="center" valign="middle" class="gmail-mcnButtonContent" style="font-family:Arial;font-size:16px;padding:18px"><a class="gmail-mcnButton" title="All Short Workshops" href="https://web.cvent.com/event/2d61258f-6210-4abe-b8f9-8b44b3b1c1ed/websitePage:645d57e4-75eb-4769-b2c0-f201a0bfc6ce" target="_blank" style="display:block;font-weight:bold;line-height:16px;text-decoration-line:none;color:rgb(255,255,255)">All Short Workshops</a></td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table><table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%" class="gmail-mcnDiv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